Sure, it's still early but you can fiddle around with simple models and still get some real signal. That's what Seth Masket does in this post from Mischiefs of Faction. He uses a very standard midterm model of growth in real per capita disposal income/presidential approval/seats held by majority party.
The bottom line, assuming 4 percent real disposable income growth (very good) and a stable Biden approval rating:
"Plugging these values in, we get Democrats losing 25 seats. Given that they only hold 221 right now, that means Republicans taking control by a healthy margin. Of course, there are large error margins around all these estimates, and we really don't know what conditions will look like by next fall....[Looking at] a range of likely election outcomes given different levels of economic growth and presidential approval...Democrats are expected to lose House seats in almost all situations, except for presidential approval over 65% and economic growth over 4%, the combination of which is not particularly likely to show up....
[M]idterm forecast models are inherently noisy, and the one for 2022 may be noisier than usual. It's still too early to make anything like a precise forecast. But the number of possible futures in which Democrats hold onto the House are very, very few"
More impressionistically, Matt Yglesias ventures a 90 percent prediction probability Democrats will lose both the House and Senate. Possibly a touch too gloomy. But not be much.
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